RE: Bush's Poll Numbers

While I agree with Nick in that the party could ill afford to do anything to make its voters want to stay home, the fact is that the new presidential candidate - be it Allen, Giuliani, or whomever - will be what attracts people to the polls. Conservative Christians stayed home in 2000 not because they were upset with the government, but because there was not outreach. If the Republican nominee reaches out to these folks and shows them he (or she) shares their concerns, they will come out.

In any event, none of this has anything to do with Bush's approval ratings.